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| Subject: new theory about Paris waits |
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someone posted a link of this forum to the 2005 immigration targets for each embassy. I copied the file but not link (brilliant)
I have a new theory about the crazy range in wait times from Paris and why this might be happening.
The quota for the Paris embassy is 11,710 PR´s. It is exactly the same as last year. Perhaps because that is all the demand??? OK. 11,710 are Economic applications, and 1,510 are Non- economic. (sponsorships???). It does not divide spousal from the rest but we can assume that it would be 2/3 spousal. The rest gets put on the slow track. Messes with the timelines.
More important. out of the 10,200 economic applications - 8,200 are destined for Quebec. 2,000 are going to the rest of the country. If you are going to Quebec, your wait is likely longer than the federal wait simply because of volume.
My theory continues- the Federal applicants are then split between french and english applications. I suspect the french proportion is tiny.(they all went to Quebec) It is safe to assume that different immigration officers have different areas of expertise. Some would only handle Quebec and other would only handle federal french or english applications.
Depending on how rare you application might be - would directly affect how fast you were processed. Maybe our own application was so quick because we will applying federally, but in the french language.
So my theory... if you want a quick result - be the oddball! (I really need a life)
[01-03-2005,21:15]
[***.181.198.246]
sharon |
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(in reply to: new theory about Paris waits)
www.workincanada.net/targets-cible.xls
[01-03-2005,21:21]
[***.181.198.246]
sharon |
(in reply to: new theory about Paris waits)
Sharon,do you think this is official?
one more quesiton, what´s the bottom line mean?
"Federal Target/ 1000"
[01-03-2005,21:30]
[***.25.33.176]
Yijie |
(in reply to: new theory about Paris waits)
I often wonder on the same... why application with same time line - even through medicals have different final wait period. I applied in Jan 2004 (Buffalo) and see a lot of application on yogi999 clear to PP request and I´m still waiting... :(
[02-03-2005,07:43]
[**.151.173.91]
***** |
(in reply to: new theory about Paris waits)
Thanks for this Sharon! I like you line of deductive logic!
Oh boy, this all is getting rather confusing. I can´t believe that things have gotten so hectic in Paris that the timeline has increased so much. Yet on another forum there is a guy who applied to Paris for a Skilled Worker visa back in 2001 and only just got his IA... I really hope applications don´t take that long.
I really wish there was some official info in writing info on Paris would start to make some kind of cohesive sense.
[04-03-2005,14:38]
[**.219.84.7]
Swissguy |
(in reply to: new theory about Paris waits)
Here is another theory...
Under the new transitional rule, anyone who applied before June 28, 2002 could be reassessed under the new passmark. According to processing time statistics on CIC site, 30% of applicants in Paris got their visas within 30 months and 80% got their visas within 43 months.
Since the statistics show the processing time for applications that were finalized between April 2004 and March 2005, we can conclude that those applications that got finalized were the ones sent between January 2001 and June 2002.
That tells me that most of the applications finalized between October 2004 and March 2005 were the ones that were frozen and had to be reassessed. In December the CIC chart gave statistics of 12 months for 80% of the cases, which then represented applications sent in 2003. Today, the backlog as of December 2004 for Paris is around 7000 as the target for 2005 is around 11,500 ( http://www.immigrate.net/law/en/VisasLaws/Default.asp ). This should mean that this backlog is mostly made of 2004 applications which should all get at least an IA or interview request sometime this year.
My conclusion is :
- Most of the applications finalized in the first half of 2004 were the ones sent in 2003
- Most of the applications finalized in the second half of 2004 were the ones sent before June 2002 and had to be reassessed
- My theory is that most applications that will be finalized in 2005 will be the ones sent 2004.
I believe that statistics will decrease again back to 12 months in December 2005 or March 2006.
[07-06-2005,10:39]
[***.248.192.30]
Canada1702 |
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